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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | marvelousmarvin | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 48% (27–29, n=56) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $3.5M | -$25K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #23 | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 78% (340 of 435 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (132 of 198 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 35% (won 100% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 100% of 13) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
102 on the same side, 58 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | marvelousmarvin | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | No $110K | — | No $66K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | No $37K | — | No $11K |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $304 | Yes $27K | — | No $17K |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | Yes $14K | — | Yes $10K |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.2K | Yes $11K | — | Yes $5.9K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $198K | Yes $19K | — | Yes $12K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz same side · consensus Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz $165K | Taylor Fritz $14K | — | Taylor Fritz $38K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $89K | No $31K | — | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $44K | No $44K | — | No $19K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $34K | — | No $5.9K |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $42 | No $17K | — | No $2.3K |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $71 | No $6.5K | — | No $9.1K |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $206 | No $4.6K | — | No $296 |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | KKS Lech Poznań $26K | — | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $16K | — | Yes $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AC Milan | — | AC Milan $4.5K | — | Ferencvárosi TC $5.9K |
| Will Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $9.5K | — | Yes $106 |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.9K | — | Over $722 |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $5.8K | — | Yes $3.3K |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.7K | — | Over $4.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.9K | — | No $1.4K |
| Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.8K | — | No $165 |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.1K | — | Over $1.5K |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.8K | — | Under $204 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | — | Yes $1.5K |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.3K | — | Under $215 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $772 | — | Over $2.0K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.5K | — | No $312 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.7K | — | Over $82 |
| Will Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.5K | — | No $162 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | — | Over $12 |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | — | Under $37 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kimmer Coppejans $81 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $1.5K | — | — |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $45 | — | No $1.4K |
| Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | Yes $11 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $21 | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| AC Milan leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $929 | — | Yes $8 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $900 | — | Over $4 |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $763 | — | Yes $137 |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $880 | — | Over $5 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $879 | — | Over $2 |
| Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Qairat FK? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $733 | — | Yes $33 |
| NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $165 | — | Under $596 |