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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 43% (33–44, n=77) | 75% (741–246, n=987) | 55% (201–167, n=368) |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | $8.4K | $70K | $227K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #550 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (3 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (90 of 133 open) | 69% (49 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 67% of 33 at avg 48¢, ROI +18% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 0% of 2) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 39% (won 69% of 13) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 52% (won 71% of 17) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $2.0K | — | Dartmouth Big Green $424 | Dartmouth Big Green $301 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $93 | — | Vikings $6 | Vikings $1.9K |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri | Daniel Altmaier $428 | — | Buvaysar Gadamauri $6.4K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $19 | Bucks $3.1K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $65 | Under $1.0K |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $362 | Celtics $399 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan Wolverines | — | — | Marquette Golden Eagles $13 | Michigan Wolverines $516 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Warriors $123 | Rockets $82 |
| Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos same side · consensus Kansas City Roos | — | — | Kansas City Roos $3.2K | Kansas City Roos $2.1K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $239 | Over $4.9K |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $48 | Under $4.7K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $108 | Over $2.7K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $83 | Under $2.6K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $93 | Over $2.4K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $100 | Over $2.3K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $1.4K | Rockets $838 |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Seahawks $542 | Seahawks $1.5K |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Bucks $367 | Bucks $1.5K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Falcons $165 | Falcons $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Cavaliers $218 | Cavaliers $915 |
| Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $17 | Over $430 |
| Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5) same side · consensus Kansas City Roos | — | — | Kansas City Roos $116 | Kansas City Roos $277 |
| Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $192 | Under $183 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $201 | Raptors $19 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $3 | Rockets $56 |