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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | big8betz | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (64–71, n=135) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 75% (744–249, n=993) | 55% (201–167, n=368) |
| Consensus PnL | -$420K | -$8.9K | $74K | $227K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #225 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (102 of 143 open) | 73% (58 of 79 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 50% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −10% | 52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 31% (won 9% of 66) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 50% (won 0% of 2) | 27% (won 45% of 56) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | 13% (won 68% of 28) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 29% (won 97% of 61) | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | big8betz | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | Vikings $6 | Vikings $1.8K |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $19 | Bucks $3.4K |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $217 | Bucks $1.7K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $65 | Under $1.0K |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $362 | Celtics $407 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Warriors $120 | Rockets $83 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $107 | Under $8 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie same side · consensus Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz $2.7K | — | Taylor Fritz $10K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Ugo Humbert | Ugo Humbert $3.3K | — | Ugo Humbert $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | — | Bucks $621 | Bucks $5.2K |
| Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos same side · consensus Kansas City Roos | — | — | Kansas City Roos $3.2K | Kansas City Roos $2.1K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $218 | Over $5.0K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $96 | Over $2.7K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $83 | Under $2.6K |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $213 | Trail Blazers $2.4K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $90 | Over $2.3K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $86 | Over $2.2K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $1.5K | Rockets $850 |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K | — | Dartmouth Big Green $407 | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Seahawks $542 | Seahawks $1.5K |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Bucks $353 | Bucks $1.3K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Falcons $165 | Falcons $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-7.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Pelicans $266 | Pelicans $712 |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Cavaliers $182 | Cavaliers $766 |
| Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $19 | Over $430 |
| Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $207 | Under $186 |
| Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5) same side · consensus Kansas City Roos | — | — | Kansas City Roos $117 | Kansas City Roos $272 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $212 | Raptors $19 |