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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | cm2897 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 55% (35–29, n=64) | no settled market | 67% (383–189, n=572) |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | $26K | — | -$126K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #574 | PM monthly #153 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 33% (4 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (88 of 143 open) |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 54% of 252 at avg 48¢, ROI +6% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 26% (won 11% of 65) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 27% (won 45% of 67) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 22% (won 71% of 56) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 25% (won 94% of 64) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | cm2897 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $10K | — | — | Heat $804 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $4.8K | — | — | Magic $713 |
| Spread: Ohio (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | — | Miami (OH) $1.5K | — | Ohio $1.1K |
| Spread: Ohio (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | — | Miami (OH) $862 | — | Ohio $864 |
| Spread: Ohio (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH) | — | Miami (OH) $870 | — | Ohio $61 |
| Spread: Ohio (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | — | Miami (OH) $24 | — | Ohio $812 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $15 | — | — | Heat $739 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | — | Heat $456 |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $51K | — | — | Heat $18K |
| San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $35K | — | — | Colorado Buffaloes $729 |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $1.7K | — | — | Suns $11K |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $11K | — | — | Kings $839 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $7.5K | — | — | Suns $528 |
| Spread: Ohio (-16.5) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | — | Miami (OH) $3.7K | — | Miami (OH) $1.5K |
| Spread: Ohio (-3.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | Miami (OH) $1.3K | — | Miami (OH) $3.5K |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $37 | — | Over $3.8K |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.0K | — | Under $1.0K |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $26 | — | Over $742 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 67.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $27 | — | Over $24 |