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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | Multicoloured-Serf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (41–44, n=85) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 75% (510–174, n=684) | 25% (14–42, n=56) |
| Consensus PnL | -$367K | $245K | $59K | -$478K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #13 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (121 of 186 open) | 59% (20 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 183 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 2% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 48% (won 100% of 88) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 42% (won 100% of 77) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 8% (won 100% of 14) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | Multicoloured-Serf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.3K | — | Heat $5.7K | Heat $73K |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $18K | — | — | Heat $7.6K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Kent State | Kent State $207 | — | — | Bowling Green $19K |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | — | Kings $2 | Magic $45 |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | — | Bucks $246 | Bucks $42K |
| Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Maple Leafs | — | — | Maple Leafs $55 | Maple Leafs $34K |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $47 | Magic $32K |
| Devils vs. Jets same side · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $270 | Jets $28K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $224 | Under $20K |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | — | 76ers $853 | 76ers $15K |
| Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $155 | Under $10K |
| Devils vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $89 | Under $2.1K |
| Capitals vs. Senators same side · consensus Capitals | — | — | Capitals $88 | Capitals $816 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $111 | Over $210 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $10 | — | Jazz $181 | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $50 | — | Miami (OH) $36 | — |
| Spread: Capitals (-2.5) same side · consensus Senators | — | — | Capitals $2 | Capitals $6 |