Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (10–12, n=22)66% (4115–2162, n=6277)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #2PM monthly #896PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)no open consensus position64% (203 of 315 open)66% (130 of 197 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 100% of 41)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 154)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 671)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

77 on the same side, 53 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677Pan9XRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $165K—Arthur Fils $129Taylor Fritz $38K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28—No $96No $66K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $23K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $35Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $37K—Over $20Under $60
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14K—Yes $122Yes $10K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $304—Yes $156No $17K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $120No $11K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.2K—No $187Yes $5.9K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $197K—Yes $34Yes $12K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $89K—No $96No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $172No $19K
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $71—No $35No $9.1K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $200No $5.9K
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $106No $2.3K
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $206—No $126No $296
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $16K—Bilibili Gaming $15—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $30No $5.2K
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $79No $5.0K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $40Over $4.2K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $13Under $3.5K
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $61Yes $3.3K
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $9Under $2.7K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $61Under $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $41Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $48Over $1.5K
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $49No $1.4K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $115Under $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2K—Jaguars $4—
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $35Yes $1.1K
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $11Yes $1.0K
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $14Under $999
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $46Under $895
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $11Over $760
NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $49Under $596
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $11No $499
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $26Over $360
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $11No $354
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $31Under $326
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $15No $327
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $55Under $204
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $66Under $180
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $74Yes $106
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $22Under $155
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $58Under $70
W35 Orlando, FL: Jana Hossam Salah vs Briana Szabo
opposite sides · consensus Jana Hossam Salah
——Briana Szabo $14Jana Hossam Salah $103
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1Under $107
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $62Over $36
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $31Under $62
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $23Under $54
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $39