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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (2741–3663, n=6404)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)
Consensus PnL$95K$3.3M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #503PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus53% (34 of 64 open)71% (199 of 280 open)no open consensus position66% (23 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
  • Weather +2 pts n=144, ROI +2%
  • NBA +8 pts n=16, ROI +8%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMentions ±0 pts, n=938Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won37% of 3270 at avg 37¢, ROI −3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢54% (won 3% of 1758)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 43% of 464)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 143)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 97% of 905)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
—GenOne $2—Brute $519
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $21—Oriana Gniewkowska $5
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $28K—Sorana Cirstea $21K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $23K—Anastasia Zakharova $17K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2K—Yes $5.5K
Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6K—No $768
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $1.9K
Will FC Bunyodkor vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8K—No $517
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Will Xorazm Fk Urganch win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—Yes $4
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $261—Over $664
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42