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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | Flaznorp | mildwindow27 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 36% (5203–9172, n=14375) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.5M | -$144K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #319 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (212 of 271 open) | 73% (63 of 86 open) | 64% (96 of 150 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −4 pts, n=1229 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 54% (won 1% of 2673) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 2% (won 43% of 124) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 4% (won 55% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 40% (won 96% of 1974) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
61 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | Flaznorp | mildwindow27 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | — | Olympique de Marseille $8.3K | — | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $352 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.6K | — | Over $4 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $7.5K | — | Yes $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $4.5K |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | — | Yes $248 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $2.3K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.1K | — | Under $81 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | — | Yes $6 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.8K | — | Yes $740 |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | — | Under $414 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | — | Under $57 |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $29 | — | Over $2.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.1K | — | Yes $460 |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | — | SC União Torreense $231 | — | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | Yes $63 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $32 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $832 | — | Over $185 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $600 | — | No $300 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $88 | — | Yes $594 |
| Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 - 1 Olympique de Marseille? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $267 | — | No $374 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $440 | — | Warriors $143 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $432 | — | Over $12 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $406 | — | Over $10 |
| Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus AZ | — | Juventus FC $49 | — | AZ $89 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $47 | — | Yes $27 |
| Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $21 | — | No $46 |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | — | Over $33 |
| MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $25 | — | Under $3 |
| Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $8 |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $57K | — | Yes $41K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $56K | — | No $30K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $51K | — | No $20K |
| Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $36K | — | Yes $28K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $40K | — | No $19K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $29K | — | Yes $13K |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $26K | — | No $4.5K |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | — | Under $16K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | — | Under $11K |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $10K | — | Yes $4.1K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.4K | — | Under $9.3K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.3K | — | Under $6.9K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.2K | — | Under $3.1K |