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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market52% (6467–6001, n=12468)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL——$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked as——PM monthly #22PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position78% (212 of 271 open)64% (96 of 150 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢——16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up——39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

61 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
——Olympique de Marseille $8.3KBayer 04 Leverkusen $352
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.6KOver $4
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $7.5KYes $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $4.5K
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.9KYes $248
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $2.3K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.1KUnder $81
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.8KYes $6
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.8KYes $740
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $414
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.9KUnder $57
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $29Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.1KYes $460
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
——SC União Torreense $231Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $63
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $32
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $832Over $185
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $600No $300
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $88Yes $594
Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 - 1 Olympique de Marseille?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $267No $374
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $440Warriors $143
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $432Over $12
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $406Over $10
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
——Juventus FC $49AZ $89
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $47Yes $27
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $21No $46
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $33
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $25Under $3
Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $8
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $57KYes $41K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $56KNo $30K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $51KNo $20K
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $36KYes $28K
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $40KNo $19K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $29KYes $13K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $26KNo $4.5K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $12KUnder $16K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.6KUnder $11K
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $10KYes $4.1K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.4KUnder $9.3K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.3KUnder $6.9K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $3.1K