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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (315–267, n=582) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | -$188K | $7.9M | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #808 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 69% (288 of 416 open) | 59% (108 of 183 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −3 pts, n=124 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 436 at avg 49¢, ROI −5% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 16% of 64) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 51% of 137) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 54% of 196) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 74% of 39) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
85 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $3.5K | Over $9.6K |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $8.3K | Yes $235 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.7K | Over $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | — | — | Daniel Milavsky $483 | Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | — | — | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3K | Dalibor Svrcina $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | — | Julia Riera $2.3K | Renata Zarazua $988 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.7K | Over $470 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.0K | Yes $62 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | — | — | Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K | Lavinia Tanasie $5 |
| Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $216 | Under $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $175 | Over $1.5K |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.2K | Under $422 |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $880 | Over $725 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $63 | No $1.4K |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Over $13 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $985 | Yes $319 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $819 | Yes $224 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $340 | No $585 |
| Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $682 | Yes $152 |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Jordan Lee vs Keaton Hance opposite sides · consensus Jordan Lee | — | — | Keaton Hance $212 | Jordan Lee $556 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | — | — | Greet Minnen $686 | Lisa Pigato $48 |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $554 | Yes $125 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $671 | Over $1 |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $78 | Yes $515 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6 | Over $502 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $387 | No $89 |
| AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $311 | Yes $20 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | — | Julio Cesar Porras $23 | Ivan Gakhov $225 |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $108 | Warriors $129 |
| W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson | — | — | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $17 | Sofia Johnson $217 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Over $7 |
| W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace | — | — | Cadence Brace $60 | Jo-Yee Chan $36 |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $74 | Over $16 |
| Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $54 | Under $29 |
| FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $62 | Under $4 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $13 | Yes $4 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $11 | Yes $4 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $27K | No $24K |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $31K | Under $3.0K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $22K | No $4.2K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $16K | Yes $11K |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.5K | Yes $19K |