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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (593–78, n=671) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $142K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #368 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 95% (56 of 59 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 59% (56 of 95 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=124 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 701 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 14% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 43% of 23) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 45% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 87% (won 96% of 611) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $297K | Steelers $112 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $90K | No $184K | — | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.2K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $114K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Jets $244 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $555 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $975 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $901 | Under $69 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $232K | Raiders $21 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $248 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $38 | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-6.5) same side · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $3.3K | Steelers $156 |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $966 | Under $1.9K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $1.5K | Ravens $464 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Ravens $1.5K | Ravens $407 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $683 | Over $1.1K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $1.1K | Falcons $547 |