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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8efa1ea8ee2d456a051ae2985079a1e3c9aa894cFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6467–6001, n=12468)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #22PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (234 of 297 open)no open consensus position61% (94 of 154 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

68 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8efa1ea8ee2d456a051ae2985079a1e3c9aa894cFlaznorpprimmRN1
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31K—No $10K
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $29K—No $4.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $11K—Yes $5
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $9.6K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $352
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.6K—No $5.0K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.6K—Over $4
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.1K—Yes $248
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.5K—Yes $592
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.3K—No $135
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $4.5K
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.6K—Yes $6
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9K—No $2.5K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.1K—Under $81
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $491—Over $2.9K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7K—Under $414
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9K—Under $57
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
—SC União Torreense $231—Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K
Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Michael Antonius
opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
—Maks Kasnikowski $980—Michael Antonius $948
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9K—Yes $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999
—FC København $731—SK Iberia 1999 $842
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $63
Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 Beşiktaş JK?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $941—Yes $464
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $32
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $836—Over $185
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $588—Over $336
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600—No $300
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $118—Yes $594
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Warriors $143
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $432—Over $12
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $433—Over $10
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Monteiro
—Thiago Monteiro $327—Marco Cecchinato $77
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
—Juventus FC $49—AZ $89
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $47—Yes $27
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $25—Under $3
Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $8
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $58K—Yes $42K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $56K—No $28K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $62K—No $20K
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $37K—Yes $28K
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $43K—No $20K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $37K—Yes $13K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $37K—No $6.0K