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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)98% (4294–107, n=4401)41% (616–869, n=1485)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)51% (28209–27250, n=55459)
Consensus PnL-$15K$8.4M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #837PM monthly #1PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (30 of 34 open)50% (20 of 40 open)65% (46 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −6 pts, n=13———
Settled positions, side won98% of 4309 at avg 97¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 7)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 31% of 16)36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 53% of 36)35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 99% of 4250)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.8KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $229
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $72
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $67
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801