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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)92% (3728–317, n=4045)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$89K$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)83% (24 of 29 open)70% (185 of 266 open)59% (17 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Toby Samuel $23—Jurij Rodionov $2.7KJurij Rodionov $8.0K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Ryan Nijboer $11—Juan Bautista Torres $92Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14KOver $1.5K
W75 Petange: Dalma Galfi vs Amandine Hesse
opposite sides · consensus Amandine Hesse
——Dalma Galfi $657Amandine Hesse $11K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $572Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
——GenOne $2Brute $523
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $6.2KYes $5.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Tomas Etcheverry $58—Tomas Etcheverry $10K—
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Philip Henning
Philip Henning $130——Philip Henning $3.5K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KOver $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $270Over $686
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $127Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42