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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0ndb1RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)92% (3698–311, n=4009)65% (896–472, n=1368)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)50% (20405–20288, n=40693)
Consensus PnL$89K$4.5M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #100PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)76% (31 of 41 open)58% (33 of 57 open)67% (30 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0ndb1RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $23K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika
opposite sides · consensus Omar Jasika
Omar Jasika $22—Jake Delaney $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $161No $289
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
Alexandre Muller $60—Alexandre Muller $4.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $791