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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpmildwindow27RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3634–6648, n=10282)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)40% (5092–7766, n=12858)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M$64K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #22PM monthly #349PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)78% (120 of 153 open)84% (276 of 328 open)63% (42 of 67 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −4 pts, n=1229—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)54% (won 1% of 2673)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 43% of 124)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)4% (won 55% of 214)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)40% (won 96% of 1974)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpmildwindow27RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $14K—Over $1.4K
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7.2KUnder $504——
Lakers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Kings $2.8KLakers $4.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Mavericks vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Mavericks $1.1KSpurs $3.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $539—Under $246
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $134—Over $526
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $338—Over $133
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $226—Mavericks $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Jake Delaney
Jake Delaney $14K——Jake Delaney $6.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $811—Quentin Halys $1.2K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.7K—Spurs $265
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $23
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $963——Clippers $240
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $792—Under $398
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $1.1K—Lakers $16
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $616—Over $418
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $249—Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116—Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42