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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8m1BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)51% (35–33, n=68)52% (102–94, n=196)
Consensus PnL—$8.4M$61K$2.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #44PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #111
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)82% (32 of 39 open)71% (158 of 223 open)74% (66 of 89 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)——
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)——
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)——
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8m1BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $14K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $357—Yes $2.7K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34—No $1.7K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9—No $1.2K—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $172—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425K—No $350K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306K—Yes $12K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $235KBills $79—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $765—Under $12K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $257—No $4.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $47—No $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $20—Under $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $39—Over $922—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $54—Under $872—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24—Under $702—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $5—No $596—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2—Over $523—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $19—Yes $471—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4—Over $445—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $354—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $173—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $177—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15—Yes $112—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $94—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $78—