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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 63% (97–57, n=154) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | -$6.0K | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #813 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (12 of 22 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 63% (246 of 391 open) | 67% (150 of 224 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 9% (won 86% of 7) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 32% (won 92% of 25) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 59% (won 96% of 46) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
65 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $63K | — | Yes $77K | Yes $20K |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | No $23K | No $836 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson | — | — | Laura Samson $596 | Carole Monnet $9.0K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $484 | Under $7.1K |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | — | — | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K | Olympiakós SFP $32 |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | — | — | Alice Tubello $3.1K | Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K |
| Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.0K | Yes $2.9K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | — | Arthur Fils $3.5K | Tomas Machac $1.2K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.8K | Over $14 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.2K | — | — | Yes $96 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $317 | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.0K | Yes $1.3K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.4K | Eduardo Ribeiro $645 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.6K | Under $22 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $78 | No $1.4K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $370 | Under $1.0K |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $215 | Over $1.2K |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra opposite sides · consensus Solana Sierra | — | — | Leyre Romero Gormaz $10 | Solana Sierra $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $213 | No $677 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Wizards $237 | Hawks $430 |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $23 | Under $615 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Cavaliers $325 | Thunder $273 |
| W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin | — | — | Oceane Dodin $281 | Eva Bennemann $99 |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | — | — | Anna Siskova $274 | Marie Weckerle $55 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | Pacers $202 | Grizzlies $119 |
| Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $236 | No $27 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Suns $125 | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $116 | Over $86 |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $160 | Over $5 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $21 | No $132 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $50 | Yes $63 |
| Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $47 | No $28 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $26 | No $15 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $2 | No $37 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $300K | — | No $42K | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $101K | No $4.3K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini | — | — | Matteo Berrettini $7.9K | Matteo Berrettini $14K |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP | — | — | Olympiakós SFP $21K | Olympiakós SFP $109 |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $15K | No $5.3K |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $8.5K | Over $7.9K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $12K | Under $4.0K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.8K | Under $5.4K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.2K | Under $6.8K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $399 | Nishesh Basavareddy $7.6K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.6K | Under $13 |