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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)52% (413–378, n=791)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$14.8M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #28 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)73% (170 of 233 open)59% (17 of 29 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +4 pts n=589, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%56% of 731 at avg 51¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)4% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)41% (won 50% of 298)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)51% (won 59% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)5% (won 89% of 36)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1weflyhigh
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572Over $3.3K—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Remy Bertola $2.7KKilian Feldbausch $803—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
opposite sides · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Laslo Djere $267Otto Virtanen $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $415Tom Gentzsch $29—
M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand
opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand
—Robert Guna $83Robin Bertrand $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $3.7KSorana Cirstea $3.2K—
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $3.3KSumit Nagal $2.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127Yes $176—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42—