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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGetsOnBaseRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)100% (3–0, n=3)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$80K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #211PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)100% (2 of 2 open)57% (76 of 133 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)50% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)50% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGetsOnBaseRN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $431K—Texans $1.6K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190K—Eagles $11K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K—76ers $365
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K—Cowboys $4.1K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K—Eagles $290
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $37K—Eagles $3.2K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K—No $16K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CF Universidad de Chile $18KCD Cobresal $3.5K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $137
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $400—76ers $155
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K—Under $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K—Giants $8.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24K—Colts $7.9K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $13K—Rams $8.8K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14K—Bulls $73
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K—Browns $311