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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGetsOnBaseRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)100% (3–0, n=3)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$80K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #179PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus79% (46 of 58 open)71% (114 of 161 open)100% (2 of 2 open)54% (59 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)50% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)50% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGetsOnBaseRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K76ers $764—76ers $734
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $31K—No $17K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCF Universidad de Chile $18KCD Cobresal $3.5K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $40076ers $614—76ers $155
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14KBulls $1.6K—Bulls $62
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $256K——Texans $5.3K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190K——Eagles $11K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K——Cowboys $1.4K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $87K——Texans $1.6K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $135
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $210
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.7K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141—No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K—FC Barcelona $113
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886—Yes $254
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $866—Under $30
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $376—Over $158
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320—Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $78—Over $340
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $173—Bulls $106
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K——Under $4.5K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $92K—No $28K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Giants $8.8K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24K——Colts $8.6K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $23K—No $3.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11K—Yes $5.1K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $12K—Club Atlético de Madrid $140
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.8K—No $1.9K
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.0K—Over $5.0K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $6.5K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $5.8K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214—No $9.1K
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.0K—No $533
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $7.5K—FC Barcelona $11
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $3.6K—FC Barcelona $3.2K
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K——Browns $311
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.4K—Over $2.2K