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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGetsOnBaseprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)100% (3–0, n=3)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$80K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #179PM monthly #48PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus79% (46 of 58 open)100% (2 of 2 open)55% (12 of 22 open)54% (59 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)50% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)50% (won 100% of 1)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGetsOnBaseprimmRN1
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208K—Over $6.8KUnder $4.5K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190K—Eagles $5.6KEagles $11K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K—Eagles $131Giants $8.8K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $3.4KEagles $210
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $256K——Texans $5.3K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K——Cowboys $1.4K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K——76ers $734
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $87K——Texans $1.6K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $135
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K——No $17K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CF Universidad de Chile $18K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $142
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $2.8K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $400——76ers $155
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $101K—Colts $94—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49K—Colts $5.7K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24K——Colts $8.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14K——Bulls $62
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K——Browns $311
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $195Eagles $4.7K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $924Over $270
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14