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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankcanupdatelateronFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)68% (514–246, n=760)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$27K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #900PM monthly #11PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)50% (1 of 2 open)73% (139 of 190 open)60% (30 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Tennis −3 pts, n=74Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%8% of 415 at avg 6¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)94% (won 6% of 392)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)2% (won 0% of 8)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)2% (won 60% of 10)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)1% (won 100% of 5)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankcanupdatelateronFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $600Over $3.3K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $3.3KMax Hans Rehberg $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
——Kilian Feldbausch $241Sumit Nagal $997
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $287Ipek Oz $680
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $214Hornets $124
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——76ers $188Cavaliers $52
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $31No $12
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $11
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.8KNo $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $2.9K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $2.9K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $795No $729
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
——Zsombor Piros $460Zsombor Piros $644
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $231No $841
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
——Anastasia Zakharova $233Anastasia Zakharova $393
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $361Kings $111
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
——Carlo Alberto Caniato $11Carlo Alberto Caniato $300
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $42
Exact Score: Antalyaspor 1 - 0 Bursaspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $45Yes $17