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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (10884–6285, n=17169) | 52% (6615–6145, n=12760) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $649K | $3.6M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 67% (266 of 400 open) | 79% (115 of 146 open) | 67% (52 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −6 pts, n=15 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 5751 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 38% (won 18% of 2184) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 7% (won 53% of 393) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 2643) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.