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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankgod83743894omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)33% (3558–7213, n=10771)50% (15072–15093, n=30165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M-$20K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #263PM monthly #55PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)80% (185 of 230 open)54% (106 of 195 open)63% (130 of 205 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +2 pts n=42, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Weather −7 pts, n=5548——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%28% of 8247 at avg 33¢, ROI −5%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)69% (won 1% of 5687)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)2% (won 40% of 158)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)3% (won 54% of 213)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)27% (won 96% of 2189)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankgod83743894omnibus-076daaRN1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $642K—Yes $4.1KNo $6.5K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.7KYes $96
Cali: Julia Grabher vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
——Julia Riera $774Julia Grabher $789
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $149—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
——Eric Vanshelboim $653Ignacio Parisca $296
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $677
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $622
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $101Over $482
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
——Lukas Pokorny $100Toby Samuel $434
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $96Yes $271
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $109Under $157
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
——Anna Siskova $134Marie Weckerle $55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—Yes $680—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $38No $13K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $786Over $7.9K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $100Under $6.8K
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $122No $6.3K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $104Under $4.0K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $26Under $2.7K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $69—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Carlos Alcaraz $24Carlos Alcaraz $1.8K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.0KYes $63
W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann
same side · consensus Oceane Dodin
——Eva Bennemann $85Eva Bennemann $99
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
——Juan Manuel La Serna $36Juan Manuel La Serna $13