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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1RobbbS-Works
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)64% (1097–630, n=1727)83% (2411–480, n=2891)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.8M$98K$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #97was PM monthly #996PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)72% (108 of 149 open)81% (113 of 140 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147College Football −23 pts, n=36Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 10% of 139)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)6% (won 34% of 116)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)12% (won 68% of 220)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)75% (won 96% of 1388)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1RobbbS-Works
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $337KNo $450—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292KYes $11KYes $1.0K—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $37No $1.2M
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $24KYes $625—
Will Juwan Johnson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $101Yes $1.2K—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $14Yes $752—
Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $541—
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $199Yes $162—
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $205Yes $124—
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8Yes $262—
Will Zay Flowers have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $150Yes $30—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $76K—Yes $2.1K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K—No $177—
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0KNo $20—
Will Omar Cooper Jr. have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $86Yes $678—
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $28Yes $696—
Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $438No $261—
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $408No $241—
Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $490No $158—
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $454Yes $29—
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $10Yes $455—
Will Jaxson Dart have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $144No $299—
Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $249No $14—
Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3Yes $249—
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $46—
Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $30Yes $12—