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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CannaeRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)52% (5933–5582, n=11515)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$1.2M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus55% (36 of 65 open)62% (93 of 150 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +50 pts n=62, ROI +53%
  • NBA +44 pts n=316, ROI +40%
  • NHL +43 pts n=101, ROI +44%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 8672 at avg 61¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 99% of 778)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 1843)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 2554)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 3497)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCannaeRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $13KOver $30K—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $5.8KYes $7.4K—
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0KYes $5.8K—
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.7KUnder $1.2K—
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $662No $3.1K—
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique Lyonnais
Angers SCO $8Olympique Lyonnais $3.1K—
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $18Over $1.5K—
Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.4KUnder $33—
Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $509Yes $320—
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $422Yes $2—
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $146Over $100—
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $83Yes $74—
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $95Yes $52—
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC $110Liverpool FC $5—
Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $9.2KNo $23K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8KNo $14K—
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9.1KOver $4.9K—
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2KYes $10K—
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV $945Hamburger SV $8.0K—
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.0KUnder $2.4K—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $741No $2.4K—
Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $347No $2.7K—
Will Asteras Tripolis win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $47No $1.7K—
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $803No $414—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $652No $15—
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)
same side · consensus Genoa CFC
Genoa CFC $273Genoa CFC $226—
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $39No $281—
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1Over $144—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $42No $70—