← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Elias.Thornwell | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (10075–2849, n=12924) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | $84 | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (279 of 301 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 3325 at avg 89¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 58% of 101) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 96% of 98) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 98% of 167) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 100% of 2959) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.