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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ethanael02FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (100–59, n=159)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL-$11K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #937PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)68% (186 of 272 open)56% (99 of 177 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 92% of 25)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 96% of 46)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEthanael02FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $2.2KPelicans $280
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $2.2KHornets $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274Under $1.7K
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $532
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $1.5KGrizzlies $123
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KOver $138
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $880Thunder $17
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $801Over $46
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $632Under $106
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $315Over $235
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $535Yes $1
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $507Over $1
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Nuggets $211Raptors $130
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2Over $278
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $146Over $85
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124Trail Blazers $99
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $188Suns $6
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $100Over $2
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.7KNo $3.6K
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.2KUnder $2.4K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4.9KUnder $113
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KUnder $255
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $3.9KThunder $35
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.4KUnder $428
Flames vs. Kraken
same side · consensus Flames
—Kraken $147Kraken $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.2KLakers $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $945Spurs $186
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KUnder $7
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $17
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $669Under $364
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $802Lakers $17
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $524Raptors $275
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720Under $20
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $431Thunder $270
Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $499No $133
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $470Under $23
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $352Timberwolves $130
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $136Under $147
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10Yes $162