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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Ethanael02FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6673, n=10322)63% (104–60, n=164)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$3.0M-$15K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #621PM monthly #988PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (13 of 18 open)0% (0 of 1 open)71% (196 of 277 open)57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 92% of 25)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—59% (won 96% of 46)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Ethanael02FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $14KOver $1.5K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Ryan Nijboer $5—Juan Bautista Torres $90Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Philip Henning
Philip Henning $19K—Philip Henning $2.0KPhilip Henning $8.0K
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $15K—Utah $211—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $572Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $1.5K—Taylor Fritz $525—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495—Olympique de Marseille $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $134—Under $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Alastair Gray $120—Aidan Mayo $423—
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
——GenOne $2Brute $523
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $16KYes $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $6.2KYes $5.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges $5.1K——Nuno Borges $20
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.0K—Under $761—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KOver $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus GamerLegion
GamerLegion $1.1K—GamerLegion $37—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $270Over $686
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $127Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $48Julio Cesar Porras $19
Nepal Premier League: Kathmandu Gurkhas vs Biratnagar Kings
same side · consensus Kathmandu Gurkhas
Kathmandu Gurkhas $39—Kathmandu Gurkhas $12—