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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Kaczka | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (13298–10666, n=23964) | 50% (491–484, n=975) | 48% (19574–21323, n=40897) | 51% (28350–27349, n=55699) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $620 | $14.9M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (94 of 137 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (15 of 28 open) | 64% (47 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 82% of 656 at avg 57¢, ROI +20% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 5% (won 60% of 30) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 23% (won 68% of 148) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 60% (won 87% of 394) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 13% (won 92% of 84) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Kaczka | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | Under $20K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K | Under $2.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K | Under $67 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $51 | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K | Under $872 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $203 | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | — | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $10 | — | — | Under $5.2K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $752 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $686 | — | — | No $929 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | Yes $315 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $491 | — | No $524 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $328 | — | — | Yes $6 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $256 | — | No $12 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $14 | — | Under $181 | — |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $118 | — | — | Over $54 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32 | — | — | No $62 |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | — | No $1.2K |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | — | No $118 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $754 | — | — | Yes $279 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $412 | — | — | Under $606 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $956 | — | — | Over $7 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 | — |
| FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $161 | — | — | Over $215 |
| Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $40 | — | — | No $200 |
| Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | No $185 | — | — | No $35 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $112 | — | — | Yes $79 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $112 | — | — | Yes $52 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $78 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $131 | — | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $48 | — | — | Over $5 |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $7 | — | — | No $23 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | No $21 | — |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $18 | — | — | No $6 |
| Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni | Alexandre Reco $15 | — | Alexandre Reco $2 | — |