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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #1PM monthly #51PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (155 of 243 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)60% (102 of 171 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K——Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.9K——Over $84
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
Maxwell McKennon $823——Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713——Over $268
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213——No $677
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $813——Under $2
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $220——Hawks $426
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $304——Thunder $273
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $480——Under $6
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $444—Ball State $18—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $310——Under $33
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $215——Grizzlies $118
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124——Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123——Over $86
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $31——Wizards $89
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
Carlos Maria Zarate $21——Lucio Ratti $18
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
Marcos Giron $6.1K——Marcos Giron $17K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $5.6K——Arthur Fils $11K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K——Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K——Under $1.1K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $6.7K——No $3.5K
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K——No $2.6K
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7K——No $553
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $48——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.5K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
same side · consensus Max Wiskandt
Hiroki Sakagawa $1.3K——Hiroki Sakagawa $864
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $257
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
Filip Jeff Planinsek $26——Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101——Under $1.1K
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $241——Yes $961
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $776——76ers $240
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $720——Over $165
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Solana Sierra $286——Solana Sierra $476
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720——Under $20
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $383——Raptors $246
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
No $444——No $72
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $353——Over $102
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $40——Under $371
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $172——Under $120
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239——Under $46
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1