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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) | 27% (296–816, n=1112) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $3.2M | $14.8M | $33K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #122 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (210 of 289 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 59% (83 of 140 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Elections −1 pts, n=182 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 52% (won 3% of 256) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 6% (won 32% of 28) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 7% (won 64% of 36) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 35% (won 95% of 172) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
53 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8.6K | — | Under $5 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | Olympique de Marseille $5.9K | — | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7 | — |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.8K | — | Over $2.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | No $38 | — |
| Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria | Valerio Aboian $9 | — | Federico Coria $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | SC União Torreense $473 | — | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.1K | — |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | No $770 | — |
| Spread: FC København (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999 | FC København $1.2K | — | SK Iberia 1999 $862 | — |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | — | Under $535 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | Over $281 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | Yes $248 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | Yes $134 | — |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | PFK CSKA Sofia $1.6K | — | Panathinaikós AO $4 | — |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | Yes $138 | — |
| Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano | FC Lugano $1.5K | — | FK Kauno Žalgiris $11 | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $648 | — | Over $675 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | No $529 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $673 | — | Yes $187 | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551 | — | Jesse Flores $13 | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $105 | — | Over $422 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $387 | — | Joao Lucas Da Silva $32 | — |
| Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $401 | — | Yes $9 | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $304 | — | Over $101 | — |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $382 | — | Over $10 | — |
| FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $122 | — | Under $234 | — |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | — | Ivan Gakhov $238 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12 | — | Yes $267 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $108 | — | Warriors $130 | — |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | Anna Siskova $60 | — | Isis Louise Van den Broek $88 | — |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $55 | — | Over $48 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova | Maria Sholokhova $5 | — | Victoria Rodriguez $36 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Over $29 | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $49K | — | No $28K | — |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $47K | — | No $20K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $32K | — | Yes $15K | — |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11K | — | Under $11K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | No $2.2K | — |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.5K | — | Under $8.4K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud same side · consensus Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud $4.6K | — | Casper Ruud $6.4K | — |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.3K | — | Under $2.8K | — |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.9K | — | Yes $3.7K | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.2K | — | Under $4.3K | — |