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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | Robbb | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 83% (2411–480, n=2891) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.8M | $3.6M | $98K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #55 | was PM monthly #996 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (103 of 153 open) | 72% (108 of 149 open) | no open consensus position | 81% (113 of 140 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | College Football −23 pts, n=36 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 10% of 139) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 6% (won 34% of 116) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 12% (won 68% of 220) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 75% (won 96% of 1388) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.