Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1ropetard
Record (consensus markets)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)65% (113–60, n=173)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M$79K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #381
Sides with the consensus69% (137 of 198 open)62% (8 of 13 open)54% (53 of 98 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +7 pts n=142, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%56% of 144 at avg 49¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)6% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)41% (won 44% of 59)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)51% (won 68% of 73)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)3% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1ropetard
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $78Florida Atlantic $24KFlorida Atlantic $14K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $348K—Under $649—
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21K—No $7.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.1K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Over $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $434—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $888—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $4Jaguars $2.4K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.8KOver $231—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $640Over $1.1K—
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $242—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $409—Canucks $867—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $698Under $469—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $599Over $458—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $678—
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Ducks $153—Oilers $649—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $510Jaguars $180—
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $25—Under $621—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $79—Warriors $520—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $428—Warriors $110—
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $106—Over $83—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $131—Yes $33—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $114—Yes $40—
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Suns $1—Magic $43—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9.6K—Over $1.2K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.6K—Under $1.1K—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $266—Jaguars $7.6K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.3K—Over $2.4K—
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K—No $1.8K—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7K—No $222—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $246—No $2.2K—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Under $657—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $174—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.1K—Over $9—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
Penguins $384—Penguins $52—
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
Yuta Shimizu $23—Yuta Shimizu $341—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8—Under $326—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
No $219—No $92—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $174—Warriors $97—