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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracBreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus78% (69 of 89 open)72% (79 of 110 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164——
Settled positions, side won54% of 10037 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1314)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3582)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3477)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1664)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracBreakTheBankCORGII
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $9.1KBrowns $255K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $38KCardinals $59K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.5KYes $39K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8KYes $14K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5KNo $16K—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11KYes $28—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.8KCardinals $3.0K—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $46KBills $378K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $407K—
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $25KRaiders $171K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7KYes $20K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $844Yes $16K—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8KYes $3.0K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $192Yes $2.5K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7KYes $967—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $334Yes $2.3K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3KYes $118—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1KYes $193—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56Yes $164—