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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1CORGIIBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus58% (85 of 146 open)0% (0 of 4 open)73% (80 of 109 open)50% (39 of 78 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 59% of 872)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)21% (won 86% of 2312)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)38% (won 94% of 4141)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 99% of 3484)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1CORGIIBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $131
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Steelers $1.9K—Browns $297K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $171KJets $614
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $12K—Cardinals $59K—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.4K——Under $18K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $109—Raiders $17K—
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite
Wilson Leite $12K——Andre Souza $1.0K
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.9K——Over $66
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
—Imperial $7.9K—DENDELE CS $81
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7.0K——Under $210
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Liam Draxl $5.2K——Dylan Dietrich $36
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $4.0K——Jangjun Kim $951
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $4.0K——Ravens $80
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $4.0K——Ravens $18
Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.1K——Yes $21
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $98——Over $1.0K
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $228——Over $573
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $283——Jaguars $291
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1——Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $22K—Bills $378K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $4.3K—Raiders $104K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $77KYes $1.8K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $72KYes $116
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $18K—Bills $51K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $228—Magic $51K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $2.7K—Raiders $24K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $1.1K—Jaguars $20K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $161—Magic $13K—
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.7K——No $77
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $108——Yes $3.5K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.2K——Under $290
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $516——No $90
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $526——Over $59
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Mitsui $5——Shunsuke Mitsui $452
Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $72——Over $174
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $30——Under $160
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $54——Yes $5
Will Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4——Yes $13