← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (89 of 157 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 60% (25 of 42 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $18K | — | Ravens $696 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7.0K | — | Under $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $647 | — | Bills $4.5K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $4.0K | — | Ravens $295 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $1.3K | — | Buccaneers $2.3K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | Under $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $1.4K | — | Bills $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $1.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.5K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.5K | — | Under $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $2.3K | — | Jets $284 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $2.1K | — | Raiders $138 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | — | Over $8 | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.0K | — | Under $17 | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $225 | — | Browns $471 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $21 | — | Bills $662 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $434 | — | Under $65 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $22K | — | Bills $395 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9.2K | — | Under $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $4.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $4.0K | — | Bills $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $5.1K | — | Buccaneers $1.5K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4.8K | — | Under $575 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $3.8K | — | Buccaneers $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-6.5) same side · consensus Steelers | Steelers $4.7K | — | Steelers $156 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-14.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $2.5K | — | Jaguars $4 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $629 | — | Cardinals $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $1.3K | — | Bills $282 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $748 | — | Buccaneers $181 | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $166 | — | Over $2 | — |