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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Reformedx | CORGII | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (838–776, n=1614) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #903 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (8 of 10 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 56% (79 of 141 open) | 63% (19 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 834 at avg 55¢, ROI +43% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 97% of 39) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 55% (won 99% of 462) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 99% of 135) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Reformedx | CORGII | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $2.3K | — | Jets $11K | Raiders $5.8K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.0K | — | Under $2.2K | Over $8 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $18K | Ravens $696 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus Legacy | Legacy $4.2K | TheMongolz $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $647 | Bills $4.5K |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $4.0K | Ravens $295 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $2.1K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $2.7K | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $1.0K | — | Steelers $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.0K | Under $17 |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $225 | Browns $471 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $434 | Under $65 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $28K | Bills $395 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.2K | Under $2.8K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.2K | Under $261 |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $4.0K | Bills $2.7K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.8K | Under $575 |
| Spread: Steelers (-6.5) same side · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $4.7K | Steelers $156 |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.5K | Bills $282 |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | — | Over $440 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $629 | Cardinals $1.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $93 | Bills $662 |