← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ryxon21 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (148–60, n=208) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $133K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #461 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (43 of 54 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 64% (94 of 148 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 297 at avg 77¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 46% of 24) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 78% of 32) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 95% of 21) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 97% of 220) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ryxon21 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $51 | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.5K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | No $184K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $192 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $11K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.1K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $762 | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $981 | No $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $400 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $2.3K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $71K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $714 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $643 | — |