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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| ScottyNooo | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (315–542, n=857) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $910K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (79 of 142 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 63% (92 of 146 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=308 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1112 at avg 45¢, ROI −3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 4% of 557) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 32% of 77) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 55% of 44) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 96% of 434) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ScottyNooo | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $9.4K | No $252K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.5K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $29 | No $214K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $192 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $11K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | No $35K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | Yes $28K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $400 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $35 | No $6.4K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $40K | Yes $169K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $2.3K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $40K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $714 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $643 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $590 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.3K | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $833 | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $844 | Yes $4.6K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $4.6K | No $747 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | Yes $943 | — |