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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SharkVisionBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)80% (327–84, n=411)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$108K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #537PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)72% (77 of 107 open)55% (77 of 139 open)62% (18 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 324 at avg 71¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 12% of 58)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 50% of 18)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 75% of 44)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 97% of 204)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSharkVisionBreakTheBankRN1primm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18KRavens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7KJets $284
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4KCardinals $1.1K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378KBills $28KBills $395
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Leonardo Storck Franca $19K—Jose Pereira $129—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $43—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $647Bills $4.5K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $4.0KRavens $295
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.2KOver $8
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.0KUnder $17
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
——Steelers $225Browns $471
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $434Under $65
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.2KUnder $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $261
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $4.0KBills $2.7K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.8KUnder $575
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Steelers
——Steelers $4.7KSteelers $156
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5—No $4.1K—
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.5KBills $282
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $629Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $93Bills $662