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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SnapElectionAvoider | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (907–846, n=1753) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $207K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #391 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (66 of 91 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −26 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 1681 at avg 48¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 14% of 709) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 44% of 165) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 69% of 177) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 94% of 630) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.