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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| StarMaster | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (1046–977, n=2023) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $110K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (80 of 108 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 60% (25 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=241 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 2565 at avg 48¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 11% of 720) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 41% of 494) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 61% of 804) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 89% of 547) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | StarMaster | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $580 | — | No $89K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Jets $284 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $735 | — | No $21K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $395 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $647 | — | Yes $258K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $750 | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | — | Yes $21K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $51 | — | Yes $16K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |