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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UbuntuTrading | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (1752–1897, n=3649) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $117K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (44 of 82 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 52% (56 of 108 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=195 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 3786 at avg 35¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 64% (won 6% of 2407) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 37% of 153) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 68% of 159) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 1067) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UbuntuTrading | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $605 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $49 | No $407K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $112 | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $178 | Yes $51K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $138 | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $46 | No $753 | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $148 | No $411K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $54 | No $22K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52 | Yes $16K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $50 | No $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $629 | Cardinals $1.0K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $83 | No $590 | — | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24 | Yes $193 | — | — |
| Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | Yes $200 | — | — |