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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (110 of 171 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 50% (11 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rams (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $33K | — | — | Rams $849 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $18K | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $5.4K | — | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $9.0K | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7.3K | Over $382 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $6.3K | Felipe de Dios $1 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.9K | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien opposite sides · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Hugo Dellien $887 | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K | — | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca | Leonardo Storck Franca $2.6K | Jose Pereira $129 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | Yes $10 | — | — |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | — | — | Under $250 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | — | — | Over $22 |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $27 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Spread: Patriots (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Patriots $70 | — | — | Dolphins $79 |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $72 | — | — | Rams $4 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $34 | — | — | Over $4 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite same side · consensus Wilson Leite | Wilson Leite $951 | Wilson Leite $12K | — | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl same side · consensus Liam Draxl | Liam Draxl $5.1K | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.1K | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris same side · consensus Ozan Baris | Ozan Baris $1.2K | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — | — |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $55 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $2.0K | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $1.0K | — | — | Broncos $1.1K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Patriots $92 | — | — | Patriots $1.8K |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) same side · consensus Rams | Rams $733 | — | — | Rams $1.0K |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $1.6K | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-6.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Dolphins $117 | — | — | Dolphins $1.1K |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Nicolas Bruna $786 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — | — |
| Spread: Chargers (-1.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $104 | — | — | Chargers $595 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $240 | — | — | Over $7 |