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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpLimousinRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (862–764, n=1626)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$99K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #16PM monthly #341PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (173 of 272 open)57% (32 of 56 open)56% (115 of 205 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +46 pts n=88, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=382, ROI +32%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=28, ROI +32%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 535 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)7% (won 100% of 37)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 100% of 112)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)16% (won 100% of 88)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)56% (won 100% of 298)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

64 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpLimousinRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $333Eastern Michigan $1.0KCentral Michigan $3.8K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2KGonzalo Bueno $471Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.2KNo $35No $163
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286Leyre Romero Gormaz $1.0KSolana Sierra $476
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $336Under $378Over $425
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $166Under $58Under $2
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7KNishesh Basavareddy $859Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589Camilo Ugo Carabelli $3.5KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $1.4KBianca Andreescu $617Bianca Andreescu $3.2K
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.9KNo $921No $55
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $47Under $6Under $197
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon
——Lautaro Midon $2.5KTomas Barrios $16K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.1K—Yes $4.8K
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.2K—Over $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $196—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu
—Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $977—No $5
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
W35 Orlando, FL: Brooke Black vs Annika Penickova
opposite sides · consensus Annika Penickova
—Annika Penickova $613Brooke Black $5—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $557—Over $6
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $499Yes $37—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $89UMass $358
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $340Yes $37—
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $237—Wizards $98
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127SD Eibar $155—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27—Kings $253
Will São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $240Yes $20—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $230Under $6—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $105—Over $84
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $90—Over $90
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $32—Pacers $139
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4—Pelicans $126
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—76ers $9—Pistons $109
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25—Yes $80
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $21Under $39—
W35 Orlando, FL: Merna Refaat vs Edda Mamedova
opposite sides · consensus Edda Mamedova
—Edda Mamedova $54Merna Refaat $2—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14No $12—
Exact Score: São Paulo FC 2 - 2 SC Corinthians Paulista?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $13Yes $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.4KNo $3.5K—