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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpquietparcelRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5927–5304, n=11231)44% (6313–8127, n=14440)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$45K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #251PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (241 of 389 open)83% (162 of 196 open)64% (130 of 203 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −4 pts, n=646—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)58% (won 1% of 3260)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 39% of 118)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)4% (won 60% of 198)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)36% (won 96% of 2049)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpquietparcelRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
—Rinky Hijikata $16K—Novak Djokovic $30K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $24K—Under $111
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov
opposite sides · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $3.9K—Karen Khachanov $3.5K
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
—Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.8K—Olympiakós SFP $32
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.9K—No $522
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9K—Over $14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will SK Artis Brno win on 2026-10-17?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4K—Yes $80
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $16—Over $1.9K
Charlottesville: Liam Draxl vs Maks Kasnikowski
opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
—Maks Kasnikowski $501—Liam Draxl $930
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $939—Under $2
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $237—Hawks $430
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $537—Celtics $101
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $325—Thunder $136
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera
—Alice Tubello $369—Marina Bassols Ribera $76
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $398—Under $1
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Pacers $202—Grizzlies $119
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $227—Yes $63
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $229—Marie Weckerle $55
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $146—No $132
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $104—Over $124
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $125—Trail Blazers $99
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26—No $15
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $137K—No $6.3K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $104K—No $6.5K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $95K—No $4.4K
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Madrid CF
—AEK $73K—AEK $5.5K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $54K—Yes $20K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $5.5K—Daniil Medvedev $36K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $21K—Olympiakós SFP $109
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $5.3K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Under $7.5K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $18K—No $73
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Under $4.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.7K—Under $5.4K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Under $2.7K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.1K—Under $6.8K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.2K—Over $7.9K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $11K—Under $1.5K
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $3.3K—Matej Dodig $9.0K
Chennai Open: Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
—Weronika Falkowska $129—Weronika Falkowska $8.0K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $1.7K—Laura Samson $5.5K
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves
same side · consensus Leolia Jeanjean
—Leolia Jeanjean $6.9K—Leolia Jeanjean $43
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8K—Under $3.0K