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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cocococococoBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)51% (1051–1030, n=2081)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$97K$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #883 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus79% (117 of 148 open)72% (74 of 103 open)64% (97 of 151 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=231———
Settled positions, side won50% of 3250 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 10% of 715)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 43% of 937)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 60% of 894)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 90% of 704)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcocococococoBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7KNo $184K——
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $192—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $35K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5KYes $37K——
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $625No $24K——
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400—
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KNo $10K——
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $250No $2.4K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.8KYes $272K——
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $90K——
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.4KYes $4.1K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $857Yes $4.7K——