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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpgollazaRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)no settled market48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$3.6M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #126PM monthly #11—PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (17 of 23 open)72% (138 of 192 open)no open consensus position63% (30 of 48 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpgollazaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K—Over $1.6K
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal $9.1KKilian Feldbausch $191—Sumit Nagal $4.1K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Lucrezia Stefanini $3.7KAnastasia Zakharova $171—Anastasia Zakharova $314
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $575Zsombor Piros $493—Zsombor Piros $960
Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $13K—Yes $229
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K——Over $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.5KOver $2.6K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $3.5KCarlos Alcaraz $1.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $600—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: FC UTA Arad 0 - 1 FC Petrolul Ploieşti?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $965—No $212
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $287—Ipek Oz $680
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $322—Under $481
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $176—Max Hans Rehberg $232
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Spurs $265——Kings $121
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $12K
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.2KOver $2.7K——
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.6K——Over $17
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.1KUnder $16——
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $228
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $908—Under $2
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $533—No $135
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $361—Kings $111
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $11—Carlo Alberto Caniato $304
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $42
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $87—Under $22
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs tao toma (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
same side · consensus tao toma
tao toma $30tao toma $2——